2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,104 sqft ·
Built 1963
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 63 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,129/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$813
Tax + insurance
−$282
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$237
Net cashflow
$-202/mo
Annual
$-2,429/yr
Cap rate
4.73%
Cash-on-cash
-5.60%
DSCR
0.75
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$43,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-202 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $119k (23.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (27.2% below list).
It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $113k (27.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#945 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D, crime F.
Sharon Springs Central School District (rural): math 45% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #568 of 755 in NY (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 35 units permitted in Schoharie County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Schoharie County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $49k; list at $155k implies a 216% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29