148 France St · Sharon Springs, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +7.4/30.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
- DSCR +1.5/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great ranch home featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, with a spacious living room highlighted by a cozy fireplace. Attached garage and paved driveway offer convenience and ample parking. Located in the heart of the Village of Sharon Springs, just a short distance to local amenities and popular festivals. Enjoy a large, private backyard--perfect for relaxing or entertaining.
Key facts
- Attached garage
- Private backyard
- Paved driveway
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-202 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $119k (23.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (27.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $113k (27.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#945 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D, crime F.
- Sharon Springs Central School District (rural): math 45% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #568 of 755 in NY (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 35 units permitted in Schoharie County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Schoharie County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $49k; list at $155k implies a 216% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.60%
- DSCR
- 0.75
- GRM
- 11.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $204,236
- List price
- $155,000
- Delta
- -24.11%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.65×
- Total profit
- $71,557
- Equity at exit
- $139,636
- IRR
- 18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.09×
- Total profit
- $220,923
- Equity at exit
- $301,131
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13459
- Home prices YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 11.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,129 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$217 /mo · $2,604/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$237
- Net cashflow
- $-202
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $155,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $155,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $155,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $155,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $155,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $155,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $155,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $155,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $155,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $155,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $155,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-03price $155,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-04-17$159,900 Active 376-char remark
Show marketing remark (376 chars)
Great ranch home featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, with a spacious living room highlighted by a cozy fireplace. Attached garage and paved driveway offer convenience and ample parking. Located in the heart of the Village of Sharon Springs, just a short distance to local amenities and popular festivals. Enjoy a large, private backyard--perfect for relaxing or entertaining.
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2024-10-06historical Contingent
-
2024-10-06historical
-
2024-09-11price $147,400
-
2024-04-17$149,900 Active
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2006-11-28soldstatus $49,023
-
1996-10-03soldstatus $26,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,604 · $217/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,612 · $218/mo
- Expected delta
- +$8/yr (+$1/mo · 0.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥91°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,550
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$2,604
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,084
- − Management
- −$1,084
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable loss
- −$5,189
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,245
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,184/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sharon Springs Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3626580
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,558
- Composite
- 40.63/100
- National rank
- #7640
- State rank
- #568 of 755 in NY
Livability — Sharon Springs
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #945
- US rank
- #18381
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sharon Springs, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,034
Population outlook (Schoharie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 29,080 people
- By 2030
- 27,417 · -5.7%
- By 2040
- 23,835 · -18.0%
- By 2050
- 20,482 · -29.6%
- By 2075
- 14,323 · -50.7%
- By 2100
- 9,636 · -66.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 5% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Schoharie
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.5) · D 34.7% · R 65.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.2pp toward R · 2008: -14.3pp · 2024: -30.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.5 2020: R+29.0 2016: R+34.7 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+14.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 11.37%
- Current HPI
- 362.6872
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+515.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Listed $159,900 Global MLS
- 2024-10-06 Contingent — Global MLS
- 2024-10-06 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2024-09-11 Price Changed $147,400 Global MLS
- 2024-04-17 Listed $149,900 Global MLS
- 2006-11-28 Sold (Public Records) $49,023 Public Records
- 1996-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,604 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…