2740 Jones Ave

Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), TN 37207

$385,000D+

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,536 sqft · Built 1960 · MultiFamily · Active · 106 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $3,687/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,019
• Tax + insurance: −$642
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$774
• Net cashflow: $252/mo
• Annual: $3,025/yr
• Cap rate: 7.08%
• Cash-on-cash: 2.81%
• DSCR: 1.12
• 1% rule: 0.96%
• Cash to close: $107,800

Investor read

• This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $385k. Condition is rated average.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $252 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $126/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $369k (4.2% below list).
• It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($350k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $350k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Davidson County (urban): math 12% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #126 of 139 in TN (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Tom Joy Elementary (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #926 of 952 statewide, top 100%, 456 students, 0% FRL); Jere Baxter Middle (math 2% / reading 3%, grade F, #329 of 333 statewide, top 99%, 440 students, 0% FRL); Maplewood High (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #294 of 332 statewide, top 91%, 691 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 66% district-wide (66 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 794 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 77d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 66% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 6,873 units permitted in Davidson County in 2024 (4,138 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Davidson County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.0% in Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• This rent per unit runs 36% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
• What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
• Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.

Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)

• Minor: Paint — The paint appears to be in good condition with no visible damage or wear.
• Minor: Landscaping — The landscaping appears to be in good condition with no visible damage or wear.