3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,336 sqft ·
Built 1978
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 350 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,500/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$829
Tax + insurance
−$263
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$315
Net cashflow
$93/mo
Annual
$1,117/yr
Cap rate
7.00%
Cash-on-cash
2.53%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$44,240
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $158k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $93 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (5.1% below list).
It's been on market 350 days — a 12% lower offer ($139k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $139k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#187 in TX, #4,844 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D, schools F.
Uvalde CISD (town): math 19% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #760 of 826 in TX (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 224 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 17 units permitted in Uvalde County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Uvalde County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.0% in Uvalde — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 350 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Paint
— Painted walls show some wear
Minor: Siding
— Weathered siding
Minor: Landscaping
— Overgrown vegetation
CashFlowRE · CFR-D7H43WB49SMKST
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29