2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,056 sqft ·
Built 1979
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 229 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$954/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$110
Tax + insurance
−$35
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$200
Net cashflow
$609/mo
Annual
$7,303/yr
Cap rate
41.07%
Cash-on-cash
124.21%
DSCR
6.53
1% rule
4.54%
Cash to close
$5,880
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $21k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $609 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($954 rent vs $21k).
It's been on market 229 days — a 12% lower offer ($18k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $18k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $775 of equity ($145 loan paydown + $630 appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#946 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Milford Area PSD 124 (rural): math 30% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #278 of 620 in IL (top 45%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Milford Grade School West Campus (math 32% / reading 22%, grade F, #749 of 2,056 statewide, top 40%, 356 students, 0% FRL); Milford High School Campus (math 34% / reading 34%, grade F, #126 of 693 statewide, top 21%, 163 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 47% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 14 units permitted in Iroquois County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Iroquois County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (50%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $11k; list at $21k implies a 91% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 229 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-D9ZSBJAK5G1P57
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29