2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
700 sqft ·
Built 1966
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 360 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,068/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$183
Tax + insurance
−$485
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$224
Net cashflow
$176/mo
Annual
$2,111/yr
Cap rate
27.01%
Cash-on-cash
73.99%
DSCR
4.29
1% rule
3.06%
Cash to close
$9,772
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $176 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
It's been on market 360 days — a 12% lower offer ($31k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $31k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($241 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
St. Charles Community Schools (rural): math 35% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #196 of 540 in MI (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 27.0% vs local median 4.8% in St. Charles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 360 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Dark patches on the satellite image suggest potential leaks.
Major: exterior siding
— Signs of wear and discoloration on the siding.
Major: interior walls and paint
— No visible condition of interior walls or paint.
Major: bathrooms
— No visible condition of bathrooms.
Major: kitchen
— No visible condition of kitchen.
Major: landscaping
— Overgrown and unkempt landscaping.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DAV88AEAQD6YWE
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29