213 E Oak St · St. Charles, MI
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.17%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
$34,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located just across the road from the Bad River in St. Charles, this property offers a peaceful setting with a fenced-in private yard. The attached mobile home features two bedrooms, one bathroom, and an attached garage. While the home will need renovation, it presents a great opportunity to create a comfortable retreat, primary residence, or income-generating rental property. Included with the home are a washer, dryer, stove, refrigerator, and a new, uninstalled furnace. All measurements are estimates. B. A. T. V. A. I.
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1966
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $176 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
- Recommended offer: $31k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 27.0% vs local median 4.6% in St. Charles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Charles Community Schools (rural): math 35% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #196 of 540 in MI (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($241 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 360 days — a 12% lower offer ($31k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 360 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 73.99%
- DSCR
- 4.29
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $49,784
- List price
- $34,900
- Delta
- -29.90%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203 E North St | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+3%) | 2mo | $32,000 | $44 | 90 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.61×
- Total profit
- $15,689
- Equity at exit
- $15,693
- IRR
- 29.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.15×
- Total profit
- $40,532
- Equity at exit
- $24,184
Cash invested: $9,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48655 1116
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,068 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$183
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$44 /mo · $524/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$224
- Net cashflow
- $176
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $200 | -5% $188 | +0% $176 | +5% $164 | +10% $152 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $92 | -5% $134 | +0% $176 | +5% $218 | +10% $260 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $194 | -0.5pp $185 | base $176 | +0.5pp $167 | +1.0pp $158 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,725
- Closing costs
- $1,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $34,900 Active 360 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $34,900 Active 359 DOM
-
2026-01-01price $34,900 526-char remark
Show marketing remark (526 chars)
Located just across the road from the Bad River in St. Charles, this property offers a peaceful setting with a fenced-in private yard. The attached mobile home features two bedrooms, one bathroom, and an attached garage. While the home will need renovation, it presents a great opportunity to create a comfortable retreat, primary residence, or income-generating rental property. Included with the home are a washer, dryer, stove, refrigerator, and a new, uninstalled furnace. All measurements are estimates. B. A. T. V. A. I.
-
2025-08-05price $35,000 526-char remark
Show marketing remark (526 chars)
Located just across the road from the Bad River in St. Charles, this property offers a peaceful setting with a fenced-in private yard. The attached mobile home features two bedrooms, one bathroom, and an attached garage. While the home will need renovation, it presents a great opportunity to create a comfortable retreat, primary residence, or income-generating rental property. Included with the home are a washer, dryer, stove, refrigerator, and a new, uninstalled furnace. All measurements are estimates. B. A. T. V. A. I.
-
2025-07-23price $41,500 526-char remark
Show marketing remark (526 chars)
Located just across the road from the Bad River in St. Charles, this property offers a peaceful setting with a fenced-in private yard. The attached mobile home features two bedrooms, one bathroom, and an attached garage. While the home will need renovation, it presents a great opportunity to create a comfortable retreat, primary residence, or income-generating rental property. Included with the home are a washer, dryer, stove, refrigerator, and a new, uninstalled furnace. All measurements are estimates. B. A. T. V. A. I.
-
2025-07-17price $42,500 526-char remark
Show marketing remark (526 chars)
Located just across the road from the Bad River in St. Charles, this property offers a peaceful setting with a fenced-in private yard. The attached mobile home features two bedrooms, one bathroom, and an attached garage. While the home will need renovation, it presents a great opportunity to create a comfortable retreat, primary residence, or income-generating rental property. Included with the home are a washer, dryer, stove, refrigerator, and a new, uninstalled furnace. All measurements are estimates. B. A. T. V. A. I.
-
2025-06-25price $43,000 526-char remark
Show marketing remark (526 chars)
Located just across the road from the Bad River in St. Charles, this property offers a peaceful setting with a fenced-in private yard. The attached mobile home features two bedrooms, one bathroom, and an attached garage. While the home will need renovation, it presents a great opportunity to create a comfortable retreat, primary residence, or income-generating rental property. Included with the home are a washer, dryer, stove, refrigerator, and a new, uninstalled furnace. All measurements are estimates. B. A. T. V. A. I.
-
2025-06-19price $44,000 526-char remark
Show marketing remark (526 chars)
Located just across the road from the Bad River in St. Charles, this property offers a peaceful setting with a fenced-in private yard. The attached mobile home features two bedrooms, one bathroom, and an attached garage. While the home will need renovation, it presents a great opportunity to create a comfortable retreat, primary residence, or income-generating rental property. Included with the home are a washer, dryer, stove, refrigerator, and a new, uninstalled furnace. All measurements are estimates. B. A. T. V. A. I.
-
2025-06-06$45,000 Active 526-char remark
Show marketing remark (526 chars)
Located just across the road from the Bad River in St. Charles, this property offers a peaceful setting with a fenced-in private yard. The attached mobile home features two bedrooms, one bathroom, and an attached garage. While the home will need renovation, it presents a great opportunity to create a comfortable retreat, primary residence, or income-generating rental property. Included with the home are a washer, dryer, stove, refrigerator, and a new, uninstalled furnace. All measurements are estimates. B. A. T. V. A. I.
-
2025-06-03historical $45,000 526-char remark
Show marketing remark (526 chars)
Located just across the road from the Bad River in St. Charles, this property offers a peaceful setting with a fenced-in private yard. The attached mobile home features two bedrooms, one bathroom, and an attached garage. While the home will need renovation, it presents a great opportunity to create a comfortable retreat, primary residence, or income-generating rental property. Included with the home are a washer, dryer, stove, refrigerator, and a new, uninstalled furnace. All measurements are estimates. B. A. T. V. A. I.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 17% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,815
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,955
- − Property taxes
- −$524
- − Insurance
- −$5,293
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,025
- − Management
- −$1,025
- − Depreciation
- −$1,015
- Taxable income
- $1,978
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$475
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,637/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This property requires extensive renovation, including a new roof, exterior siding repair, and interior updates. Landscaping and HVAC system replacement would also significantly improve its value.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Dark patches on the satellite image suggest potential leaks.
- Major exterior siding — Signs of wear and discoloration on the siding.
- Major interior walls and paint — No visible condition of interior walls or paint.
- Major bathrooms — No visible condition of bathrooms.
- Major kitchen — No visible condition of kitchen.
- Major landscaping — Overgrown and unkempt landscaping.
- Major windows — No visible condition of windows.
- Major HVAC/mechanicals — No visible condition of HVAC or mechanicals.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale roof replacement — A new roof would significantly improve the home's appearance and value.
- Resale exterior siding repair — Repairing the siding would improve the home's curb appeal and value.
- Resale interior painting — Painting the interior would make the home more attractive and increase its value.
- Both landscaping — A well-maintained landscape would improve the home's curb appeal and rental value.
- Both HVAC system replacement — A new HVAC system would improve comfort and energy efficiency, increasing both resale and rental value.
- Both bathroom and kitchen updates — Updating bathrooms and kitchens would make the home more attractive and increase its value for both resale and rental purposes.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · Dark patches on the satellite image suggest potential leaks. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior siding · Signs of wear and discoloration on the siding. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls and paint · No visible condition of interior walls or paint. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| bathrooms · No visible condition of bathrooms. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| kitchen · No visible condition of kitchen. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · Overgrown and unkempt landscaping. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| windows · No visible condition of windows. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| HVAC/mechanicals · No visible condition of HVAC or mechanicals. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 8 items | $120,000–400,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale roof replacement — A new roof would significantly improve the home's appearance and value. ↑
- Resale exterior siding repair — Repairing the siding would improve the home's curb appeal and value. ↑
- Resale interior painting — Painting the interior would make the home more attractive and increase its value. ↑
- Both landscaping — A well-maintained landscape would improve the home's curb appeal and rental value. ↑
- Both HVAC system replacement — A new HVAC system would improve comfort and energy efficiency, increasing both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both bathroom and kitchen updates — Updating bathrooms and kitchens would make the home more attractive and increase its value for both resale and rental purposes. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Charles Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2632640
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,744
- Composite
- 35.25/100
- National rank
- #4976
- State rank
- #196 of 540 in MI
Livability — St. Charles
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Charles, MI
Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 180,568 people
- By 2030
- 172,302 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 153,919 · -14.8%
- By 2050
- 135,519 · -24.9%
- By 2075
- 97,199 · -46.2%
- By 2100
- 65,037 · -64.0%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
-22.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-01 Price Changed $34,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-08-05 Price Changed $35,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-07-23 Price Changed $41,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-07-17 Price Changed $42,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-06-25 Price Changed $43,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-06-19 Price Changed $44,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-06-06 Listed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-06-03 Coming Soon $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…