2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,204 sqft ·
Built 1972
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$850/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$178
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$178
Net cashflow
$-5/mo
Annual
$-62/yr
Cap rate
7.07%
Cash-on-cash
2.77%
DSCR
1.12
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$26,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-5 ($-62/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $94k (1.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $85k (10.5% below list).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $85k (10.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#159 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
Lincoln Parish (town): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #24 of 98 in LA (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 171 units permitted in Lincoln Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lincoln County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $68k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (2.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DCKN2EFZ1XJJ6P
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29