232 Carver St · Grambling, LA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 70.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +6.4/10.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great Investment Opportunity! 2 bedroom, 1 bath home near GSU
Key facts
- 0.29 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1972
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association amenities
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car); Open parking
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; No natural gas available
- Home design: Single family residence; One-story entry level; Site-built construction
- Construction: Vinyl siding and brick veneer exterior; Asphalt roof; Slab foundation; Built as residential Single Family Residence
- Exterior features: Cleared lot; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s); Electric cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); No fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-5 ($-62/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $94k (1.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $85k (10.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $85k (10.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#159 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Lincoln Parish (town): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #24 of 98 in LA (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 171 units permitted in Lincoln Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
- Lincoln County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (2.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $68k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.77%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $151,957
- List price
- $95,000
- Delta
- -37.48%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
2.81% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $10,174
- Equity at exit
- $41,686
- IRR
- 9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.43×
- Total profit
- $37,939
- Equity at exit
- $63,454
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71245
- Home prices YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 33
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $850 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$72 /mo · $869/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$178
- Net cashflow
- $-5
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $49 | -5% $22 | +0% $-5 | +5% $-32 | +10% $-59 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-72 | -5% $-39 | +0% $-5 | +5% $28 | +10% $62 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $43 | -0.5pp $19 | base $-5 | +0.5pp $-30 | +1.0pp $-55 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 239 Sims Ave Grambling, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $850 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $95,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $95,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $95,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $95,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $95,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $95,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-13$95,000 Active 61-char remark
-
2009-02-09soldstatus $68,000
-
2007-08-31soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $869 · $72/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $869 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 70% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$869
- − Insurance
- −$1,272
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$816
- − Management
- −$816
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable loss
- −$1,658
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$398
- After-tax cash flow
- $336/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lincoln Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200990
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -27.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,901
- Composite
- 32.92/100
- National rank
- #5599
- State rank
- #24 of 98 in LA
Livability — Grambling
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #159
- US rank
- #13644
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Grambling, LA
- City population
- 4,176
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,176
Population outlook (Lincoln County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 49,595 people
- By 2030
- 50,954 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 53,601 · +8.1%
- By 2050
- 57,178 · +15.3%
- By 2075
- 69,580 · +40.3%
- By 2100
- 79,862 · +61.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 85% White 9% Two or more races 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Lincoln
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.4) · D 36.5% · R 62.0% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.0pp toward R · 2008: -12.5pp · 2024: -25.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.4 2020: R+19.5 2016: R+19.6 2012: R+14.7 2008: R+12.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.81%
- Current HPI
- 110.5684
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+39.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $95,000 NELABOR
- 2009-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
- 2007-08-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $869 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…