3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
891 sqft ·
Built 2014
· Manufactured
· Active
· 408 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,583/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$250
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$962
Net cashflow
$2,584/mo
Annual
$31,004/yr
Cap rate
26.96%
Cash-on-cash
73.82%
DSCR
4.28
1% rule
3.06%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($31k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $150k).
It's been on market 408 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (7.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#126 in WY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing B; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
Teton County School District #1 (town): math 50% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #14 of 41 in WY (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: 222 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 116 units permitted in Teton County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Teton County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (7.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($125k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 408 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DCKQ8J4MWJBHDX
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29