3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,560 sqft ·
Built 1977
· SingleFamily
· Coming Soon
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,900/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$255
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$399
Net cashflow
$-65/mo
Annual
$-784/yr
Cap rate
5.98%
Cash-on-cash
-1.12%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$70,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-65 ($-784/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $238k (4.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (24.0% below list).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $190k (24.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#127 in MI, #3,163 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
Rochester Community School District (suburban): math 60% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #21 of 540 in MI (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
20 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $151k; list at $250k implies a 66% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.2% in Rochester Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29