2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
600 sqft ·
Built 1975
· Other
· Active
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$810/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$262
Tax + insurance
−$139
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$170
Net cashflow
$239/mo
Annual
$2,867/yr
Cap rate
13.62%
Cash-on-cash
26.17%
DSCR
2.16
1% rule
1.62%
Cash to close
$14,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $50k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $239 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($810 rent vs $50k).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (5.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#306 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Marion 10 (town): math 9% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #79 of 80 in SC (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Johnakin Middle (math 2% / reading 16%, grade F, #224 of 229 statewide, top 98%, 456 students, 100% FRL); Marion High (math 27% / reading 67%, grade D-, #158 of 196 statewide, top 82%, 628 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 79% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 16% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Marion 10 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 76 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marion County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (5.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 3.3% in Marion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29