4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,202 sqft ·
Built 1890
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 49 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,659/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$125
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$348
Net cashflow
$400/mo
Annual
$4,798/yr
Cap rate
9.49%
Cash-on-cash
11.42%
DSCR
1.51
1% rule
1.11%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $400 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#403 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
South Spencer County School Corporation (rural): math 46% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #58 of 301 in IN (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Rockport-Ohio Elementary School (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C-, #237 of 994 statewide, top 26%, 318 students, 61% FRL); South Spencer Middle School (math 39% / reading 52%, grade D+, #79 of 330 statewide, top 24%, 228 students, 56% FRL); South Spencer High School (math 47% / reading 67%, grade C, #64 of 369 statewide, top 18%, 357 students, 44% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 78 units permitted in Spencer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Spencer County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29