3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,600 sqft ·
Built 2005
· Townhouse
· Active
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,430/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$708
Tax + insurance
−$225
HOA
−$85
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$510
Net cashflow
$902/mo
Annual
$10,825/yr
Cap rate
14.31%
Cash-on-cash
28.64%
DSCR
2.27
1% rule
1.80%
Cash to close
$37,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $135k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $902 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $133k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Spring Grove Area SD (suburban): math 45% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #98 of 539 in PA (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Spring Grove Area Hs (math 71%, 1,166 students, 32% FRL).
Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($95k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: siding
— Severe weathering
Major: roof
— Significant damage
Major: flooring
— Worn carpet
Major: interior walls
— Painted walls with visible wear
Major: kitchen
— No appliances, no island
Major: bathrooms
— No fixtures, no updates
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29