3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,140 sqft ·
Built 1999
· Manufactured
· Active
· 64 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,642/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$217
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$345
Net cashflow
$293/mo
Annual
$3,517/yr
Cap rate
9.17%
Cash-on-cash
10.27%
DSCR
1.46
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $293 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $141k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#768 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
Levy (rural): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Williston Elementary School (math 53% / reading 52%, grade C-, #976 of 2,144 statewide, top 46%, 488 students, 71% FRL); Bronson Middle/High School (math 49% / reading 36%, grade F, #264 of 667 statewide, top 41%, 552 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools at 67% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 199 units permitted in Levy County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Levy County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 3.4% in East Bronson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DGEDYH3BNAC09W
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29