4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,972 sqft ·
Built 1940
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 43 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,594/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,048
Tax + insurance
−$356
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$545
Net cashflow
$645/mo
Annual
$7,736/yr
Cap rate
10.16%
Cash-on-cash
13.82%
DSCR
1.61
1% rule
1.30%
Cash to close
$55,972
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $200k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $645 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $322/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $194k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#23 in IN, #1,958 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, commute F.
North Lawrence Community Schools (rural): math 35% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #170 of 301 in IN (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Lincoln Elementary School (math 31% / reading 35%, grade F, #639 of 994 statewide, top 65%, 322 students, 64% FRL); Bedford Middle School (math 23% / reading 36%, grade F, #212 of 330 statewide, top 67%, 562 students, 54% FRL); Bedford-North Lawrence High School (math 38% / reading 63%, grade D+, #117 of 369 statewide, top 32%, 1,303 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 55% FRL vs 40% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 159 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $199.70M (100%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 4.2% in Bedford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,594/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($68k/yr) (locally 507% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Paint
— Paint appears worn in some areas
Major: Landscaping
— Overgrown yard and lack of landscaping
Major: Clutter
— Clutter in kitchen and bathrooms
CashFlowRE · CFR-DGKY749H0QGG8J
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29