4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,539 sqft ·
Built 1915
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,234/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,560
Tax + insurance
−$363
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$469
Net cashflow
$-158/mo
Annual
$-1,895/yr
Cap rate
5.66%
Cash-on-cash
-2.28%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$83,300
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $298k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-158 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $270k (9.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $223k (24.9% below list).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($289k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $223k (24.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#692 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Parkland SD (suburban): math 59% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #40 of 539 in PA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Ironton Sch (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B, #313 of 1,518 statewide, top 24%, 437 students, 33% FRL); Orefield Ms (math 33% / reading 60%, grade D+, #172 of 512 statewide, top 35%, 917 students, 36% FRL); Parkland Hs (math 81% / reading 24%, grade C-, #107 of 437 statewide, top 25%, 3,220 students, 25% FRL) — zoned schools average 31% FRL vs 15% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 765 units permitted in Lehigh County in 2024 (286 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lehigh County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DJJTPT2JX50860
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29