3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,910 sqft ·
Built 1955
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,729/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,195
Tax + insurance
−$1,951
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,623
Net cashflow
$-40/mo
Annual
$-480/yr
Cap rate
6.23%
Cash-on-cash
-0.21%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$224,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $800k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-40 ($-480/yr) — negative. Per door: $-20/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $793k (0.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $773k (3.4% below list).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $773k (3.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#491 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, cost of living F.
Rye Neck Union Free School District (suburban): math 78% / reading 84% proficiency, ranked #40 of 590 in NY (top 7%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Daniel Warren Elementary School (320 students, 12% FRL); Rye Neck Middle School (math 73% / reading 83%, grade A+, #37 of 729 statewide, top 5%, 351 students, 16% FRL); Rye Neck Senior High School (math 98% / reading 98%, grade A+, #19 of 1,100 statewide, top 4%, 515 students, 16% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.1% in Mamaroneck — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $7,729/mo this rent would consume 73% of the median local household income ($126k/yr) (locally 1152% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DJSGCN8CGCVK8B
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29