3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,304 sqft ·
Built 1967
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,275/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$781
Tax + insurance
−$102
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$268
Net cashflow
$123/mo
Annual
$1,481/yr
Cap rate
7.29%
Cash-on-cash
3.55%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$41,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $149k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $123 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (14.4% below list).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($147k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $128k (14.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#638 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, amenities F.
Bridgeport-Spaulding Community School District (suburban): math 7% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #513 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Martin G Atkins Elementary School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,277 of 1,397 statewide, top 93%, 346 students, 95% FRL); Bridgeportspaulding Middle Schoolschrah (math 7% / reading 20%, grade F, #462 of 493 statewide, top 94%, 365 students, 97% FRL); Bridgeport High School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #640 of 713 statewide, top 91%, 501 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 75% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 200 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $73k; list at $149k implies a 104% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DKQY154TZ88G7W
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29