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2100 Finch Dr
D Composite 42.0
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.2/15.0
  • DSCR +5.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,000

2100 Finch Dr · Bridgeport, MI 48601
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,304 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 19 Days on market
Built 1967 Est $145k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A lot of potential in this 3bed/1bath brick ranch. Home is on a full basement and has a two car attached garage including a large workshop, and nice size yard without any neighbors behind you. Bedrooms have original hardwood floors, shared bathroom has double sinks, and the roof, furnace, and water heater were replaced in 2016.

Key facts

  • Spacious backyard
  • Attached workshop
  • Quiet neighborhood

Tags

FULL UNFINISHED BASEMENTSPACIOUS BACKYARDATTACHED WORKSHOPQUIET NEIGHBORHOOD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $149k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $123 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (14.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (14.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#638 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, amenities F.
  • Bridgeport-Spaulding Community School District (suburban): math 7% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #513 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Martin G Atkins Elementary School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,277 of 1,397 statewide, top 93%, 346 students, 95% FRL); Bridgeportspaulding Middle Schoolschrah (math 7% / reading 20%, grade F, #462 of 493 statewide, top 94%, 365 students, 97% FRL); Bridgeport High School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #640 of 713 statewide, top 91%, 501 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 75% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 200 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($147k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $73k; list at $149k implies a 104% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $127,500 (14.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
7.29%
Cash-on-cash
3.55%
DSCR
1.16
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$144,744
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3445 Bluebird Dr 0.06mi 3/1.5 1,456 (+12%) 0mo $160,000 $110 77
3436 Creekwood Dr 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,176 (-10%) 2mo $159,900 $136 60
3599 Williamson Rd 0.59mi 3/1.5 1,232 (-6%) 21mo $136,400 $111 46
2746 Briarwood Dr 0.64mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,384 (+6%) 22mo $149,900 $108 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.8%
Equity multiple
0.61×
Total profit
$-16,354
Equity at exit
$22,216
10-year hold
IRR
-1.5%
Equity multiple
0.89×
Total profit
$-4,405
Equity at exit
$12,883

Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48601

Home prices YoY
-32.1%
Active inventory
200
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,275 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$781
Tax from tax record
$40 /mo · $484/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$268
Net cashflow
$123

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,119
Max offer price $149,000
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $208 -5% $166 +0% $123 +5% $81 +10% $39
Rent -10% $23 -5% $73 +0% $123 +5% $174 +10% $224
Rate -1.0pp $198 -0.5pp $161 base $123 +0.5pp $85 +1.0pp $46

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,250
Closing costs
$4,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2601 Germain Dr Saginaw, MI 3.0 1.5 1554 $1,275 $0.82 45d 1 0.86mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $149,000 Active 19 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $149,000 Active 18 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,000 Active 16 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,000 Active 15 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,000 Active 14 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,000 Active 13 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,000 Active 11 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $149,000 Active 10 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,000 Active 7 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,000 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,000 Active 5 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,000 Active 4 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    remarks 679-char remark
  14. 2026-06-02
    listed $149,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$484 · $40/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,390 · $116/mo
Expected delta
+$905/yr (+$75/mo · 186.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,300
− Mortgage interest
−$8,346
− Property taxes
−$484
− Insurance
−$745
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,224
− Management
−$1,224
− Depreciation
−$4,335
Taxable loss
−$1,058
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$254
After-tax cash flow
$1,735/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bridgeport-Spaulding Community School District
NCES district ID
2606780
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$38,403
Composite
10.13/100
National rank
#9800
State rank
#513 of 540 in MI

Livability — Bridgeport

Score
57/100
State rank
#638
US rank
#21636

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bridgeport, MI
Population (ZIP)
32,069

Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
180,568 people
By 2030
172,302 · -4.6%
By 2040
153,919 · -14.8%
By 2050
135,519 · -24.9%
By 2075
97,199 · -46.2%
By 2100
65,037 · -64.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -93.46%
Current HPI
197.3359
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+113.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $149,000 Fizber.com
  • 2021-06-29 Sold (MLS) $73,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-06-29 Sold (MLS) $73,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-04-28 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2021-04-28 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-04-21 Listed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-04-21 Listed $69,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-10.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $484 · -82.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…