2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,080 sqft ·
Built 1968
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,067/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$829
Tax + insurance
−$216
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$224
Net cashflow
$-202/mo
Annual
$-2,422/yr
Cap rate
4.76%
Cash-on-cash
-5.47%
DSCR
0.76
1% rule
0.68%
Cash to close
$44,240
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $158k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-202 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $122k (22.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $107k (32.5% below list).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($153k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $107k (32.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#477 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 91 units permitted in Lyon County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lyon County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $60k; list at $158k implies a 163% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DM7ZXW0XBYFK89
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29