4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,810 sqft ·
Built 1915
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,359/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$299
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$285
Net cashflow
$172/mo
Annual
$2,066/yr
Cap rate
8.09%
Cash-on-cash
6.42%
DSCR
1.29
1% rule
1.18%
Cash to close
$32,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $172 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $113k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (5.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#503 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
G.F.W. (rural): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #186 of 301 in MN (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 27 units permitted in Sibley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sibley County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $85k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (5.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DMHH0REFQVJ0HS
· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29