6 bd · 4.0 ba ·
3,210 sqft ·
Built 1880
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 50 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$15,090/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$6,025
Tax + insurance
−$1,432
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,169
Net cashflow
$4,464/mo
Annual
$53,564/yr
Cap rate
10.95%
Cash-on-cash
16.65%
DSCR
1.74
1% rule
1.31%
Cash to close
$321,720
Investor read
This is a 4 × 6-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.15M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($54k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($15k rent vs $1.15M).
It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.11M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.11M (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $34k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#35 in MA, #1,665 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Everett (suburban): math 15% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #289 of 302 in MA (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 45 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 3,670 units permitted in Middlesex County in 2024 (2,611 in 5+ unit buildings).
Middlesex County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.0% rent growth), your $322k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 3.8% in Everett — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $15,090/mo this rent would consume 212% of the median local household income ($85k/yr) (locally 2888% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DMTVVM9EP56E0S
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29