3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,600 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Townhouse
· Active
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,677/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,464
Tax + insurance
−$783
HOA
−$106
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$982
Net cashflow
$341/mo
Annual
$4,097/yr
Cap rate
7.16%
Cash-on-cash
3.11%
DSCR
1.14
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$131,586
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $470k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $341 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $468k (0.5% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $468k (0.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-2.9%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Flagstaff Unified District (4192) (urban): math 18% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #158 of 249 in AZ (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 698 units permitted in Coconino County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).
Coconino County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DNC3M25RCDJ94G
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29