2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
846 sqft ·
Built 1945
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 106 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$898/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$184
Tax + insurance
−$140
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$189
Net cashflow
$386/mo
Annual
$4,633/yr
Cap rate
19.53%
Cash-on-cash
47.28%
DSCR
3.10
1% rule
2.57%
Cash to close
$9,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $386 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($898 rent vs $35k).
It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($32k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $32k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#812 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Cameron ISD (rural): math 44% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #312 of 826 in TX (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Ben Milam El (421 students, 81% FRL); Cameron Middle (math 47% / reading 46%, grade D+, #443 of 1,662 statewide, top 28%, 356 students, 73% FRL); Cameron Yoe H S (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #897 of 1,632 statewide, top 57%, 474 students, 69% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.3% of price; built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 77 units permitted in Milam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Milam County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 19.5% vs local median 2.9% in Cameron — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29