803 S Burleson Ave · Cameron, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$35,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunity in Cameron, TX! This home is being sold as is and is ready for a full renovation. Situated in a convenient central location, it offers a chance to rework the existing structure or completely reimagine the property to fit your vision. Whether you’re looking to restore the home, take on a major rehab project, or even start fresh with a new build, the possibilities are there. Ideal for investors, builders or buyers seeking a project. This property is also fully fenced in. Unlock the value and bring your plans to life in Cameron.
Key facts
- Fully fenced
- Central location
- Full renovation
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $386 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($898 rent vs $35k).
- Recommended offer: $32k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.5% vs local median 2.9% in Cameron — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#812 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Cameron ISD (rural): math 44% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #312 of 826 in TX (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Ben Milam El (421 students, 81% FRL); Cameron Middle (math 47% / reading 46%, grade D+, #443 of 1,662 statewide, top 28%, 356 students, 73% FRL); Cameron Yoe H S (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #897 of 1,632 statewide, top 57%, 474 students, 69% FRL).
- Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 77 units permitted in Milam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Milam County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($32k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.3% of price; built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 47.28%
- DSCR
- 3.10
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $72,915
- List price
- $35,000
- Delta
- -52.00%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108 N Jefferson Ave | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 880 (+4%) | 13mo | $150,000 | $170 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.94×
- Total profit
- $18,983
- Equity at exit
- $5,219
- IRR
- 50.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.94×
- Total profit
- $48,454
- Equity at exit
- $3,026
Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76520
- Home prices YoY
- -31.4%
- Active inventory
- 134
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $898 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$184
- Tax from tax record
- −$125 /mo · $1,505/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$189
- Net cashflow
- $386
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $406 | -5% $396 | +0% $386 | +5% $376 | +10% $366 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $315 | -5% $351 | +0% $386 | +5% $422 | +10% $457 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $404 | -0.5pp $395 | base $386 | +0.5pp $377 | +1.0pp $368 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,750
- Closing costs
- $1,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $35,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $35,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $35,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $35,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $35,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $35,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $35,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $35,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $35,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $35,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $35,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $35,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $35,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $35,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $35,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $35,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $35,000 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
Opportunity in Cameron, TX! This home is being sold as is and is ready for a full renovation. Situated in a convenient central location, it offers a chance to rework the existing structure or completely reimagine the property to fit your vision. Whether you’re looking to restore the home, take on a major rehab project, or even start fresh with a new build, the possibilities are there. Ideal for investors, builders or buyers seeking a project. This property is also fully fenced in. Unlock the value and bring your plans to life in Cameron.
-
2026-03-07$40,000 Active 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
Opportunity in Cameron, TX! This home is being sold as is and is ready for a full renovation. Situated in a convenient central location, it offers a chance to rework the existing structure or completely reimagine the property to fit your vision. Whether you’re looking to restore the home, take on a major rehab project, or even start fresh with a new build, the possibilities are there. Ideal for investors, builders or buyers seeking a project. This property is also fully fenced in. Unlock the value and bring your plans to life in Cameron.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,505 · $125/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,505 · $125/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,779
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,961
- − Property taxes
- −$1,505
- − Insurance
- −$175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$862
- − Management
- −$862
- − Depreciation
- −$1,018
- Taxable income
- $4,396
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,055
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,578/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cameron ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4812640
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,973
- Composite
- 36.67/100
- National rank
- #4611
- State rank
- #312 of 826 in TX
Livability — Cameron
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #812
- US rank
- #14747
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cameron, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,098
Population outlook (Milam County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,051 people
- By 2030
- 23,613 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 22,693 · -5.6%
- By 2050
- 21,879 · -9.0%
- By 2075
- 20,974 · -12.8%
- By 2100
- 19,414 · -19.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Hispanic / Latino 32% Black 18% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 20%
Political lean MEDSL · Milam
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.3) · D 21.0% · R 78.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.3pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -57.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.3 2020: R+51.9 2016: R+49.9 2012: R+34.6 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -76.27%
- Current HPI
- 167.0164
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-12.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $35,000 BCSRMLS
- 2026-03-07 Listed $40,000 BCSRMLS
Property tax history
+19.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,505 · +958.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…