3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,977 sqft ·
Built 1990
· Manufactured
· Active
· 113 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,145/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$294
Tax + insurance
−$51
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$240
Net cashflow
$560/mo
Annual
$6,725/yr
Cap rate
18.30%
Cash-on-cash
42.89%
DSCR
2.91
1% rule
2.04%
Cash to close
$15,680
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $56k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $560 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $56k).
It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($51k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $51k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($387 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#46 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
Marion County (rural): math 20% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #56 of 129 in AL (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marion County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DNQS9JEC2N2B67
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29