115 Flippo St · Brilliant, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$56,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A great Investment Opportunity! This property is currently under tenant occupancy, & being sold as is. Located right in town & close to all of the local amenities & school system. If you are in the market for a rental property or starter home, this is it! * Buyer to verify & confirm all items of importance.
Key facts
- Rental property
- School system
- Tenant occupancy
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $56k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $560 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $56k).
- Recommended offer: $51k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#46 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Marion County (rural): math 20% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #56 of 129 in AL (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($387 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Marion County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($51k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.89%
- DSCR
- 2.91
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 48.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.71×
- Total profit
- $42,430
- Equity at exit
- $25,180
- IRR
- 48.0%
- Equity multiple
- 7.44×
- Total profit
- $101,020
- Equity at exit
- $38,805
Cash invested: $15,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35548
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,145 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$294
- Tax from tax record
- −$27 /mo · $326/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$240
- Net cashflow
- $560
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,000
- Closing costs
- $1,680
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $56,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $56,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $56,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $56,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $56,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $56,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $56,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $56,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $56,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $56,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $56,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $56,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $56,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $56,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $56,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-02-27$56,000 Active 334-char remark
Show marketing remark (334 chars)
A great Investment Opportunity! This property is currently under tenant occupancy, & being sold as is. Located right in town & close to all of the local amenities & school system. If you are in the market for a rental property or starter home, this is it! * Buyer to verify & confirm all items of importance.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $326 · $27/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $326 · $27/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,741
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,137
- − Property taxes
- −$326
- − Insurance
- −$280
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,099
- − Management
- −$1,099
- − Depreciation
- −$1,629
- Taxable income
- $6,170
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,481
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,244/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion County
- NCES district ID
- 0102310
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -29.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,048
- Composite
- 27.69/100
- National rank
- #6911
- State rank
- #56 of 129 in AL
Livability — Brilliant
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #46
- US rank
- #8119
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brilliant, AL
- City population
- 1,760
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,760
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 28,759 people
- By 2030
- 27,834 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 25,974 · -9.7%
- By 2050
- 24,129 · -16.1%
- By 2075
- 20,179 · -29.8%
- By 2100
- 16,341 · -43.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 4% Scottish 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+81.7) · D 8.8% · R 90.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.6pp toward R · 2008: -56.1pp · 2024: -81.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+81.7 2020: R+77.8 2016: R+76.2 2012: R+61.5 2008: R+56.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-02-27 Listed $56,000 Walker County Area MLS
Property tax history
+22.9%/yrLatest (2025): $326 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…