4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,620 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 190 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,445/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$158
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$304
Net cashflow
$485/mo
Annual
$5,824/yr
Cap rate
12.42%
Cash-on-cash
21.89%
DSCR
1.97
1% rule
1.52%
Cash to close
$26,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $485 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
It's been on market 190 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,016 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
Hazleton Area SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #476 of 539 in PA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Carbon County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Carbon County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 190 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Severe weathering and peeling
Major: roof
— Signs of wear and possible leaks
Major: flooring
— Worn-out carpet in living areas
Major: interior walls
— Painted walls with visible wear
Major: kitchen cabinets
— Outdated cabinetry
Major: bathroom fixtures
— Small and outdated bathroom with basic fixtures
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29