3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
2,550 sqft ·
Built 1982
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 78 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,500/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,463
Tax + insurance
−$232
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$525
Net cashflow
$280/mo
Annual
$3,357/yr
Cap rate
7.50%
Cash-on-cash
4.30%
DSCR
1.19
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$78,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $279k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $280 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (10.4% below list).
It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($262k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $250k (10.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#219 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime B+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
Columbus Municipal School District (town): math 9% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #113 of 130 in MS (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 130 units permitted in Lowndes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lowndes County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 49% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DPHM96D4MKK6MA
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29