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124 Cedar Dr
C- Composite 52.52
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.8/15.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$279,000

124 Cedar Dr · Columbus, MS 39705
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,550 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 78 Days on market
Built 1982 0.34 ac lot $109/sqft · 24% below area Est $333k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious home located less than 10 minutes from Columbus Air Force Base, offering convenience and functionality for everyday living. This property features vaulted ceilings, a dedicated office space, and an upstairs balcony ideal for morning coffee or quiet evenings. The layout provides a comfortable flow with ample natural light and well-sized living areas. Enjoy a large backyard with room for outdoor activities or entertaining. Ideal for buyers seeking space, accessibility, and a practical layout in a well-established area. This spacious home is designed to give you room to live, work, and relax comfortably. From open living areas to generously sized bedrooms, every part of this home offers the space you need to make it your own.

Key facts

  • Upstairs balcony
  • Large backyard
  • 0.34 acre lot

Tags

DEDICATED OFFICE SPACEUPSTAIRS BALCONYLARGE BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $279k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $280 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (10.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $250k (10.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#219 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime B+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Columbus Municipal School District (town): math 9% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #113 of 130 in MS (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 130 units permitted in Lowndes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lowndes County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($262k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 49% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $250,000 (10.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
7.50%
Cash-on-cash
4.30%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$333,167
List price
$279,000
Delta
-13.05%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
356 Merry Valley Dr 0.62mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,272 (-11%) 23mo $270,000 $119 23

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.6%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-27,496
Equity at exit
$41,600
10-year hold
IRR
-0.3%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-1,427
Equity at exit
$24,123

Cash invested: $78,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39705

Home prices YoY
-14.8%
Active inventory
13
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,463
Tax from tax record
$116 /mo · $1,390/yr
Insurance
$116
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$525
Net cashflow
$280

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,146
Max offer price $279,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$69,750
Closing costs
$8,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
89 Sir Henry Dr Columbus, MS 3.0 2.0 2451 $2,500 $1.02 43d 1 0.44mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $279,000 Active 78 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $279,000 Active 77 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    pricedays on market $279,000 Active 76 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $289,676 Active 75 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $289,676 Active 74 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $289,676 Active 72 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $289,676 Active 71 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $289,676 Active 68 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $289,676 Active 67 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $289,676 Active 66 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $289,676 Active 63 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $289,676 Active 62 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $289,676 Active 61 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $289,676 Active 60 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $289,676 Active 59 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $289,676 Active 58 DOM
  17. 2026-04-02
    listed $289,676 Active 741-char remark
    Show marketing remark (741 chars)

    Spacious home located less than 10 minutes from Columbus Air Force Base, offering convenience and functionality for everyday living. This property features vaulted ceilings, a dedicated office space, and an upstairs balcony ideal for morning coffee or quiet evenings. The layout provides a comfortable flow with ample natural light and well-sized living areas. Enjoy a large backyard with room for outdoor activities or entertaining. Ideal for buyers seeking space, accessibility, and a practical layout in a well-established area. This spacious home is designed to give you room to live, work, and relax comfortably. From open living areas to generously sized bedrooms, every part of this home offers the space you need to make it your own.

  18. 2022-04-14
    soldstatus
  19. 2018-06-26
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,390 · $116/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,204 · $184/mo
Expected delta
+$814/yr (+$68/mo · 58.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 49% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,000
− Mortgage interest
−$15,628
− Property taxes
−$1,390
− Insurance
−$1,395
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,400
− Management
−$2,400
− Depreciation
−$8,116
Taxable loss
−$1,330
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$319
After-tax cash flow
$3,677/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Columbus Municipal School District
NCES district ID
2801200
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$33,376
Composite
10.49/100
National rank
#9782
State rank
#113 of 130 in MS

Livability — Columbus

Score
60/100
State rank
#219
US rank
#18952

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety D User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
35,442
Population (ZIP)
12,195

Population outlook (Lowndes County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,842 people
By 2030
59,312 · -0.9%
By 2040
57,282 · -4.3%
By 2050
54,348 · -9.2%
By 2075
45,423 · -24.1%
By 2100
34,724 · -42.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Black 26% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lowndes

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.2) · D 45.4% · R 53.6%
2008→2024 swing
-5.3pp toward R · 2008: -2.9pp · 2024: -8.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.2 2020: R+2.6 2016: R+6.3 2012: R+1.5 2008: R+2.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -30.83%
Current HPI
176.841
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $289,676 MLSU
  • 2022-04-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-06-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,390 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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