3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
2,112 sqft ·
Built 1899
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 81 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,708/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,096
Tax + insurance
−$415
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$569
Net cashflow
$628/mo
Annual
$7,535/yr
Cap rate
9.90%
Cash-on-cash
12.88%
DSCR
1.57
1% rule
1.30%
Cash to close
$58,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $209k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $628 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $209k).
It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($196k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $196k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#153 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Richland-Bean Blossom Community School Corporation (suburban): math 41% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #82 of 301 in IN (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Edgewood Primary School (650 students, 38% FRL); Edgewood Junior High School (math 30% / reading 51%, grade F, #117 of 330 statewide, top 36%, 603 students, 40% FRL); Edgewood High School (math 42% / reading 77%, grade C+, #49 of 369 statewide, top 16%, 820 students, 33% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1899 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 872 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (663 in 5+ unit buildings).
Monroe County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $82k; list at $209k implies a 153% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 3.3% in Ellettsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1899 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DR9Z2Y6RJSMX2M
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29