3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,176 sqft ·
Built 1970
· Other
· Active
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,003/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,049
Tax + insurance
−$131
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$211
Net cashflow
$-388/mo
Annual
$-4,652/yr
Cap rate
3.97%
Cash-on-cash
-8.31%
DSCR
0.63
1% rule
0.50%
Cash to close
$56,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-388 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $132k (34.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (49.8% below list).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $100k (49.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#249 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
School Of The Osage (rural): math 39% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #112 of 324 in MO (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Osage Upper Elem. (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #413 of 1,115 statewide, top 42%, 437 students, 46% FRL); Osage Middle (math 36% / reading 46%, grade F, #172 of 391 statewide, top 46%, 485 students, 42% FRL); Osage High (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #155 of 521 statewide, top 32%, 666 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 106 active listings in the ZIP; 88 units permitted in Miller County in 2024 (31 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miller County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
8 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 50% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DRPD6Z5W6HN0FR
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29