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447 W Highway W
D- Composite 35.71
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +5.9/30.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +0.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0

$199,999

447 W Highway W · Eldon, MO 65026
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,176 sqft · Other · 44 Days on market
Built 1970 0.46 ac lot $170/sqft · 51% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this beautifully renovated, move-in-ready home located at 447 Hwy W in Eldon! This charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath property has been completely redone from top to bottom, offering the perfect blend of modern updates and cozy comfort. Step inside to a stunning kitchen featuring butcher block countertops, a stylish tile backsplash, and a clean, modern feel that's perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The home also includes all new wiring and updated plumbing, giving you peace of mind for years to come. Enjoy the convenience of a 1-car garage and a solid, well-built structure that truly stands out as a turnkey opportunity. Whether you're a first-time home buyer or looking to downsize into something low-maintenance, this home checks all the boxes. Ideally located just 15 minutes from Lake of the Ozarks and 15 minutes from Eldon, you'll have quick access to recreation, shopping, and dining while still enjoying a more relaxed setting. Don't miss your chance to own a fully updated home at an affordable price point--schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Renovated home
  • New wiring
  • 1 car garage

Tags

RENOVATED HOMEBUTCHER BLOCK COUNTERTOPSTILE BACKSPLASHNEW WIRINGUPDATED PLUMBING1 CAR GARAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Cable available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Deck; Side porch; Cleared lot; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Microwave; Dishwasher; Convection oven; Oven; Disposal
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Pantry; Smoke detector(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-388 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $132k (34.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (49.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $100k (49.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#249 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • School Of The Osage (rural): math 39% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #112 of 324 in MO (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Osage Upper Elem. (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #413 of 1,115 statewide, top 42%, 437 students, 46% FRL); Osage Middle (math 36% / reading 46%, grade F, #172 of 391 statewide, top 46%, 485 students, 42% FRL); Osage High (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #155 of 521 statewide, top 32%, 666 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 106 active listings in the ZIP; 88 units permitted in Miller County in 2024 (31 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Miller County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $100,336 (49.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 50% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.50%
Cap rate
3.97%
Cash-on-cash
-8.31%
DSCR
0.63
GRM
16.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$408,903
List price
$199,999
Delta
-51.09%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.4%
Equity multiple
2.50×
Total profit
$84,126
Equity at exit
$180,175
10-year hold
IRR
17.1%
Equity multiple
5.77×
Total profit
$266,937
Equity at exit
$388,554

Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65026

Home prices YoY
5.3%
Active inventory
106
Price-to-rent
16.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,003 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,049
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $578/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$211
Net cashflow
$-388

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,494
Max offer price $131,519
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-274 -5% $-331 +0% $-388 +5% $-444 +10% $-501
Rent -10% $-467 -5% $-427 +0% $-388 +5% $-348 +10% $-308
Rate -1.0pp $-287 -0.5pp $-337 base $-388 +0.5pp $-439 +1.0pp $-492

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$50,000
Closing costs
$6,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 38 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $199,999 Active 44 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,999 Active 41 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,999 Active 40 DOM
    Show marketing remark (1065 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully renovated, move-in-ready home located at 447 Hwy W in Eldon! This charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath property has been completely redone from top to bottom, offering the perfect blend of modern updates and cozy comfort. Step inside to a stunning kitchen featuring butcher block countertops, a stylish tile backsplash, and a clean, modern feel that's perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The home also includes all new wiring and updated plumbing, giving you peace of mind for years to come. Enjoy the convenience of a 1-car garage and a solid, well-built structure that truly stands out as a turnkey opportunity. Whether you're a first-time home buyer or looking to downsize into something low-maintenance, this home checks all the boxes. Ideally located just 15 minutes from Lake of the Ozarks and 15 minutes from Eldon, you'll have quick access to recreation, shopping, and dining while still enjoying a more relaxed setting. Don't miss your chance to own a fully updated home at an affordable price point--schedule your showing today!

  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,999 Active 39 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,999 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $199,999 Active 36 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $199,999 Active 33 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,999 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,999 Active 31 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,999 Active 30 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $199,999 Active 27 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $199,999 Active 26 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,999 Active 25 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,999 Active 24 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,999 Active 23 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,999 Active 22 DOM
  17. 2026-05-09
    listed $204,000 Active 1065-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1065 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully renovated, move-in-ready home located at 447 Hwy W in Eldon! This charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath property has been completely redone from top to bottom, offering the perfect blend of modern updates and cozy comfort. Step inside to a stunning kitchen featuring butcher block countertops, a stylish tile backsplash, and a clean, modern feel that's perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The home also includes all new wiring and updated plumbing, giving you peace of mind for years to come. Enjoy the convenience of a 1-car garage and a solid, well-built structure that truly stands out as a turnkey opportunity. Whether you're a first-time home buyer or looking to downsize into something low-maintenance, this home checks all the boxes. Ideally located just 15 minutes from Lake of the Ozarks and 15 minutes from Eldon, you'll have quick access to recreation, shopping, and dining while still enjoying a more relaxed setting. Don't miss your chance to own a fully updated home at an affordable price point--schedule your showing today!

  18. 2026-05-09
    listed $204,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (1065 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully renovated, move-in-ready home located at 447 Hwy W in Eldon! This charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath property has been completely redone from top to bottom, offering the perfect blend of modern updates and cozy comfort. Step inside to a stunning kitchen featuring butcher block countertops, a stylish tile backsplash, and a clean, modern feel that's perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The home also includes all new wiring and updated plumbing, giving you peace of mind for years to come. Enjoy the convenience of a 1-car garage and a solid, well-built structure that truly stands out as a turnkey opportunity. Whether you're a first-time home buyer or looking to downsize into something low-maintenance, this home checks all the boxes. Ideally located just 15 minutes from Lake of the Ozarks and 15 minutes from Eldon, you'll have quick access to recreation, shopping, and dining while still enjoying a more relaxed setting. Don't miss your chance to own a fully updated home at an affordable price point--schedule your showing today!

  19. 2026-05-09
    listed $204,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (1065 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully renovated, move-in-ready home located at 447 Hwy W in Eldon! This charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath property has been completely redone from top to bottom, offering the perfect blend of modern updates and cozy comfort. Step inside to a stunning kitchen featuring butcher block countertops, a stylish tile backsplash, and a clean, modern feel that's perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The home also includes all new wiring and updated plumbing, giving you peace of mind for years to come. Enjoy the convenience of a 1-car garage and a solid, well-built structure that truly stands out as a turnkey opportunity. Whether you're a first-time home buyer or looking to downsize into something low-maintenance, this home checks all the boxes. Ideally located just 15 minutes from Lake of the Ozarks and 15 minutes from Eldon, you'll have quick access to recreation, shopping, and dining while still enjoying a more relaxed setting. Don't miss your chance to own a fully updated home at an affordable price point--schedule your showing today!

  20. 2026-03-26
    listed $210,000 Active
  21. 2024-02-01
    soldstatus Closed
  22. 2023-10-02
    soldstatus Closed
  23. 2023-08-31
    status Pending
  24. 2023-08-19
    historical
  25. 2023-08-15
    status Pending
  26. 2023-08-15
    status Pending
  27. 2023-08-09
    historical
  28. 2023-08-08
    status Active
  29. 2023-08-08
    status Active
  30. 2023-08-05
    historical
  31. 2023-07-26
    status Pending
  32. 2023-07-26
    status Pending
  33. 2023-07-17
    price $189,000
  34. 2023-07-17
    price $189,000
  35. 2023-07-05
    price $194,900
  36. 2023-07-03
    price $194,900
  37. 2023-06-02
    listed $199,000 Active
  38. 2023-06-02
    listed $199,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$578 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,940 · $162/mo
Expected delta
+$1,362/yr (+$114/mo · 235.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,040
− Mortgage interest
−$11,203
− Property taxes
−$578
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$963
− Management
−$963
− Depreciation
−$5,818
Taxable loss
−$8,485
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,036
After-tax cash flow
$-2,615/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
School Of The Osage
NCES district ID
2927630
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$45,443
Composite
36.52/100
National rank
#4644
State rank
#112 of 324 in MO

Livability — Eldon

Score
66/100
State rank
#249
US rank
#12203

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
11,648

Population outlook (Miller County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
25,396 people
By 2030
25,344 · -0.2%
By 2040
24,740 · -2.6%
By 2050
23,415 · -7.8%
By 2075
19,426 · -23.5%
By 2100
13,742 · -45.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Italian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · China, Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Miller

2024 margin
Solid R (+67.3) · D 15.9% · R 83.2%
2008→2024 swing
-30.5pp toward R · 2008: -36.8pp · 2024: -67.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+67.3 2020: R+65.7 2016: R+66.0 2012: R+49.4 2008: R+36.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 20.13%
Current HPI
400.83
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.5% since first listed
27 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Pending LOBR
  • 2026-06-17 Pending JCMLS
  • 2026-05-29 Price Changed $199,999 LOBR
  • 2026-05-29 Price Changed $199,999 JCMLS
  • 2026-05-29 Price Changed $199,999 CBORMLS
  • 2026-05-09 Listed $204,000 CBORMLS
  • 2026-05-09 Listed $204,000 JCMLS
  • 2026-05-09 Listed $204,000 LOBR
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $210,000 CBORMLS
  • 2024-02-01 Sold (MLS) LOBR
  • 2023-10-02 Sold (MLS) SOMO
  • 2023-08-31 Pending LOBR
  • 2023-08-19 Delisted LOBR
  • 2023-08-15 Pending SOMO
  • 2023-08-15 Pending LOBR
  • 2023-08-09 Delisted LOBR
  • 2023-08-08 Relisted SOMO
  • 2023-08-08 Relisted LOBR
  • 2023-08-05 Delisted SOMO
  • 2023-07-26 Pending SOMO
  • 2023-07-26 Pending LOBR
  • 2023-07-17 Price Changed $189,000 LOBR
  • 2023-07-17 Price Changed $189,000 SOMO
  • 2023-07-05 Price Changed $194,900 LOBR
  • 2023-07-03 Price Changed $194,900 SOMO
  • 2023-06-02 Listed $199,000 SOMO
  • 2023-06-02 Listed $199,000 LOBR

Property tax history

+12.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $578 · +12.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…