411 Logan St

Frankfort, KY 40601

$164,900C+

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,285 sqft · Built — · Other · Active · 94 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,727/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$865
• Tax + insurance: −$101
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$363
• Net cashflow: $398/mo
• Annual: $4,779/yr
• Cap rate: 9.19%
• Cash-on-cash: 10.35%
• DSCR: 1.46
• 1% rule: 1.05%
• Cash to close: $46,172

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $165k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $398 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
• It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $150k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#111 in KY, #4,772 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, health & safety F.
• Frankfort Independent (town): math 35% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #45 of 165 in KY (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Second Street School (math 30% / reading 38%, grade F, #329 of 676 statewide, top 49%, 571 students, 53% FRL); Frankfort High School (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C, #6 of 254 statewide, top 2%, 322 students, 40% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 303 active listings in the ZIP; 123 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Franklin County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $23k; list at $165k implies a 617% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 3.3% in Frankfort — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.