3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,140 sqft ·
Built 1999
· Manufactured
· Active
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$965/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$52
Tax + insurance
−$17
HOA
−$315
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$203
Net cashflow
$378/mo
Annual
$4,539/yr
Cap rate
51.68%
Cash-on-cash
162.10%
DSCR
8.21
1% rule
9.65%
Cash to close
$2,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $10k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $378 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($965 rent vs $10k).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($10k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $10k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $69 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $300 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#484 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Napoleon Area City (town): math 62% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #208 of 656 in OH (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Napoleon Elementary School (math 75% / reading 74%, grade A, #272 of 1,584 statewide, top 19%, 975 students, 37% FRL); Napoleon Junior/Senior High School (math 49% / reading 64%, grade C, #291 of 781 statewide, top 37%, 787 students, 30% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent.
Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 18 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Henry County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 51.7% vs local median 3.8% in Napoleon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 49 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29