3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,020 sqft ·
Built 1988
· Condo
· Pending
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,381/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,092
Tax + insurance
−$877
HOA
−$715
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$920
Net cashflow
$-223/mo
Annual
$-2,676/yr
Cap rate
5.62%
Cash-on-cash
-2.39%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$111,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $399k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-223 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $360k (9.9% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $399k).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $360k (9.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#250 in FL, #3,970 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities D-, employment D-.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Verde K-8 (math 72% / reading 74%, grade A, #271 of 2,144 statewide, top 13%, 1,296 students, 28% FRL); Boca Raton Community Middle School (math 59% / reading 61%, grade B, #135 of 571 statewide, top 24%, 1,225 students, 41% FRL); West Boca Raton High School (math 55% / reading 70%, grade B-, #93 of 667 statewide, top 14%, 2,271 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools average 32% FRL vs 52% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 65% at this address vs 50% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Palm Beach average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 430 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $275k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 4.2% in Deerfield Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,381/mo this rent would consume 63% of the median local household income ($84k/yr) (locally 2900% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DV3D6FE2P65QX9
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29