4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
3,014 sqft ·
Built 2003
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,461/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$530
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$517
Net cashflow
$103/mo
Annual
$1,237/yr
Cap rate
6.79%
Cash-on-cash
1.77%
DSCR
1.08
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$70,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $103 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $246k (1.5% below list).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $246k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#169 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Gwinnett County (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #32 of 174 in GA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Anderson-Livsey Elementary School (math 23% / reading 28%, grade F, #736 of 1,228 statewide, top 61%, 648 students, 80% FRL); Shiloh Middle School (math 16% / reading 24%, grade F, #349 of 470 statewide, top 75%, 1,738 students, 75% FRL); Shiloh High School (math 22% / reading 8%, grade F, #297 of 424 statewide, top 74%, 2,203 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 47% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 41% district-wide (-21 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Gwinnett County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 352 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,607 units permitted in Gwinnett County in 2024 (1,277 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gwinnett County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
8 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $106k; list at $250k implies a 135% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.9% in Snellville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($94k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DVQ9TT54T1SQJE
· Data 12 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29