3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,304 sqft ·
Built 1920
· Condo
· Pending
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,448/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$283
Tax + insurance
−$281
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$304
Net cashflow
$580/mo
Annual
$6,959/yr
Cap rate
20.68%
Cash-on-cash
51.40%
DSCR
3.29
1% rule
2.69%
Cash to close
$15,092
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $54k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $580 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $54k).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $52k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $373 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Indianapolis Public Schools (urban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #286 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.3% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.3%/yr); 480 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,906 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marion County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.3% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 20.7% vs local median 4.4% in Indianapolis city (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exterior siding
— Weathered and possibly damaged
Major: Interior walls
— Peeling paint and visible damage
Major: Flooring
— Old and possibly damaged
Major: Stairs and railings
— Signs of wear
CashFlowRE · CFR-DVW5KF2ZWSHCCE
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29