2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,150 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$911/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$281
Tax + insurance
−$465
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$191
Net cashflow
$-26/mo
Annual
$-307/yr
Cap rate
15.28%
Cash-on-cash
32.09%
DSCR
2.43
1% rule
1.70%
Cash to close
$14,994
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $54k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-26 ($-307/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $49k (8.4% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($911 rent vs $54k).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $49k (8.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $370 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#24 in LA, #4,535 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, employment D-.
East Baton Rouge Parish (urban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in LA (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Winbourne Elementary School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #568 of 646 statewide, top 89%, 293 students, 93% FRL); Capitol Middle School (math 4% / reading 10%, grade F, #212 of 218 statewide, top 97%, 580 students, 87% FRL); Liberty High School (math 50% / reading 74%, grade B-, #15 of 265 statewide, top 6%, 1,208 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools at 80% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 155 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).
East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $20k; list at $54k implies a 168% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 15.3% vs local median 4.2% in Baton Rouge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($25k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DW8ZCMBGFDNJAX
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29