2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
900 sqft ·
Built 1956
· Condo
· Pending
· 253 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,136/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,489
Tax + insurance
−$473
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$659
Net cashflow
$515/mo
Annual
$6,175/yr
Cap rate
8.47%
Cash-on-cash
7.77%
DSCR
1.35
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$79,520
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $284k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $515 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $284k).
It's been on market 253 days — a 12% lower offer ($250k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $250k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $23k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (7.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 243 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (7.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $80k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,136/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 6817% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 253 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DWBN63C6WCZQRN
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29