2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,255 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,672/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$130
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$351
Net cashflow
$300/mo
Annual
$3,600/yr
Cap rate
8.41%
Cash-on-cash
7.57%
DSCR
1.34
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$47,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $300 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (1.6% below list).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $167k (1.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 93/100 on livability (#7 in KY, #22 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+.
Fort Thomas Independent (suburban): math 60% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #2 of 165 in KY (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Johnson Elementary School (math 67% / reading 67%, grade B+, #13 of 676 statewide, top 2%, 425 students, 6% FRL); Highlands Middle School (math 53% / reading 64%, grade B, #4 of 217 statewide, top 2%, 732 students, 11% FRL); Highlands High School (math 62% / reading 57%, grade C+, #4 of 254 statewide, top 1%, 1,015 students, 9% FRL) — zoned schools at 9% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 97 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 247 units permitted in Campbell County in 2024 (77 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.4% in Fort Thomas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DWSJD6BJAV0D6H
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29