2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,002 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 43 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$923/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$210
Tax + insurance
−$51
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$194
Net cashflow
$469/mo
Annual
$5,624/yr
Cap rate
20.35%
Cash-on-cash
50.21%
DSCR
3.23
1% rule
2.31%
Cash to close
$11,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $469 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($923 rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $39k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $818 of equity ($277 loan paydown + $541 appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#121 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Claiborne County School District (rural): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #119 of 130 in MS (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 98% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP.
Claiborne County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DX1AHCE8QM3SF8
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29