3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,366 sqft ·
Built 2000
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 114 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,189/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$708
Tax + insurance
−$98
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$250
Net cashflow
$133/mo
Annual
$1,593/yr
Cap rate
7.47%
Cash-on-cash
4.21%
DSCR
1.19
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$37,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $133 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (11.9% below list).
It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $119k (11.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#346 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Afton (rural): math 16% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #206 of 270 in OK (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Afton Es (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #540 of 845 statewide, top 68%, 305 students, 0% FRL); Afton Hs (math 15% / reading 15%, grade F, #323 of 447 statewide, top 74%, 172 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 76% district-wide (76 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 150 active listings in the ZIP; 51 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Delaware County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $36k; list at $135k implies a 275% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-DYX5MTF23JJYQZ
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29