3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,200 sqft ·
Built 2021
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,173/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$732
Tax + insurance
−$218
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$246
Net cashflow
$-23/mo
Annual
$-272/yr
Cap rate
6.10%
Cash-on-cash
-0.70%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$39,060
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-23 ($-272/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $136k (2.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (15.9% below list).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $117k (15.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($964 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 33/100 on livability (#1,679 in TX) — a limited-amenity area; tenant pool skews transient or value-seeking. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Eagle Pass ISD (town): math 15% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #774 of 826 in TX (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Rosita Valley El (math 7% / reading 16%, grade F, #4,225 of 4,322 statewide, top 98%, 454 students, 94% FRL); Memorial J H (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,445 of 1,662 statewide, top 88%, 976 students, 90% FRL); C C Winn H S (math 16% / reading 40%, grade F, #1,170 of 1,632 statewide, top 72%, 2,001 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools average 90% FRL vs 32% district-wide (58 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 66 units permitted in Maverick County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Maverick County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 5→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: paint
— faded paint in some areas
Minor: HVAC unit
— visible but no signs of malfunction
CashFlowRE · CFR-DYXQBM7M2S5SQR
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29