3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,610 sqft ·
Built 1896
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,374/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$251
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$288
Net cashflow
$-57/mo
Annual
$-683/yr
Cap rate
5.89%
Cash-on-cash
-1.44%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$47,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-57 ($-683/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $160k (5.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (19.2% below list).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $137k (19.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 89/100 on livability (#7 in IA, #119 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-.
Dubuque Community School District (urban): math 63% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #205 of 289 in IA (top 71%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Lincoln Elementary School (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #563 of 616 statewide, top 93%, 255 students, 68% FRL); George Washington Middle School (math 63% / reading 65%, grade B+, #166 of 246 statewide, top 68%, 624 students, 50% FRL); Dubuque Senior High School (math 63% / reading 74%, grade B, #181 of 336 statewide, top 54%, 1,435 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools average 51% FRL vs 32% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1896 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 237 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 473 units permitted in Dubuque County in 2024 (319 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dubuque County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $98k; list at $170k implies a 73% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.5% in Dubuque — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1896 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E0PG9X88F0Q5EZ
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29