3 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,394 sqft ·
Built 1985
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 216 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,056/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,092
Tax + insurance
−$427
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$642
Net cashflow
$-105/mo
Annual
$-1,256/yr
Cap rate
5.98%
Cash-on-cash
-1.12%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$111,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $399k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-105 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $381k (4.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $306k (23.4% below list).
It's been on market 216 days — a 12% lower offer ($351k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $306k (23.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#86 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety B+, employment B; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Fayette County (suburban): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #7 of 174 in GA (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Sara Harp Minter Elementary School (math 61% / reading 62%, grade B, #114 of 1,228 statewide, top 9%, 783 students, 18% FRL); Whitewater Middle School (math 55% / reading 65%, grade B, #41 of 470 statewide, top 9%, 864 students, 20% FRL); Whitewater High School (math 32% / reading 62%, grade D-, #37 of 424 statewide, top 9%, 1,387 students, 18% FRL) — zoned schools at 19% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 311 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 323 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fayette County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $205k; list at $399k implies a 95% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.3% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($118k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 216 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E0WQPM7YRNRJYW
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29