2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
923 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Condo
· Active
· 136 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,355/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,416
Tax + insurance
−$450
HOA
−$662
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$495
Net cashflow
$-667/mo
Annual
$-8,009/yr
Cap rate
3.33%
Cash-on-cash
-10.59%
DSCR
0.53
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$75,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $270k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-667 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $173k (35.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $236k (12.8% below list).
It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $173k (35.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#46 in WA, #792 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Northshore School District (suburban): math 69% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #9 of 291 in WA (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: HOA is 28% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 345 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $215k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 3.3% vs local median 1.2% in Kirkland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-E1FKG09RGH34WA
· Data 12 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29