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12611 NE 145th Pl Unit H90
D- Composite 39.96
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Schools +6.7/10.0
  • Cash flow +4.9/30.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$269,999

12611 NE 145th Pl Unit H90 · Kirkland, WA 98034
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 923 sqft · Condo · 133 Days on market
Built 1979 $293/sqft · 18% below area Est $330k · 18% under $662/mo HOA · 28% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Ideal for first-time buyers or investors. Functional layout includes a wood-burning fireplace, private balcony, and washer/dryer hookups. Step into this bright, stylishly updated 2-bedroom condo in the heart of Kingsgate. Enjoy storage on the deck and in a secure storage room. The updated kitchen and bathroom shine, and walk to shopping, dining, transit, EvergreenHealth, and top-rated Northshore schools. One assigned parking spot plus guest parking. Pet-friendly, no rental cap, and well-managed community with clubhouse and play area. - MOTIVATED SELLER

Key facts

  • Water heater
  • Washer & dryer
  • New refrigerator

Tags

OVERLOOKING GREENSPACECOZY WOOD-BURNING FIREPLACENEW REFRIGERATORWASHER & DRYERCLOSET ORGANIZERSWATER HEATER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-646 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $177k (34.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $238k (11.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $177k (34.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 3.4% vs local median 1.1% in Kirkland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#46 in WA, #792 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
  • Northshore School District (suburban): math 69% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #9 of 291 in WA (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 338 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $215k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 28% of rent.
Recommended offer $176,509 (34.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
3.42%
Cash-on-cash
-10.26%
DSCR
0.54
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$330,092
List price
$269,999
Delta
-18.20%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-37.6%
Equity multiple
-0.18×
Total profit
$-88,835
Equity at exit
$40,258
10-year hold
IRR
-75.5%
Equity multiple
-0.93×
Total profit
$-145,846
Equity at exit
$23,345

Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98034

Rents YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
338
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,382 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,416
Tax est. 1.5%
$337 /mo · $4,050/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$662
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$500
Net cashflow
$-646

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,200
Max offer price $176,509
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-460 -5% $-553 +0% $-646 +5% $-739 +10% $-833
Rent -10% $-834 -5% $-740 +0% $-646 +5% $-552 +10% $-458
Rate -1.0pp $-510 -0.5pp $-577 base $-646 +0.5pp $-716 +1.0pp $-787

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,500
Closing costs
$8,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 35 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14510 124th Ave NE Unit W64 Kirkland, WA 2.0 1.0 923 $2,000 $2.17 21d 1 0.05mi
12424 NE 145th St Unit C 25 Kirkland, WA 3.0 1.5 1052 $2,650 $2.52 44d 1 0.08mi
12648 NE 144th St Kirkland, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 812 $2,598 $3.20 2d 9 0.14mi
14447 127th Ln NE Kirkland, WA 1.0 1.0 640 $1,920 $3.00 5d 1 0.14mi
14443 127th Ln NE Unit S7 Kirkland, WA 1.0 1.0 640 $1,900 $2.97 44d 1 0.14mi
14441 127th Ln NE Unit S-2 Kirkland, WA 2.0 1.0 923 $2,100 $2.28 25d 1 0.15mi
14334 126th Ave NE Unit B302 Kirkland, WA 2.0 1.0 930 $2,300 $2.47 25d 1 0.21mi
12423 NE 143rd St Kirkland, WA 2.0 1.0 846 $2,075 $2.45 5d 2 0.32mi
16125 Juanita Woodinville Way NE Bothell, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 921 $2,800 $3.04 44d 4 0.99mi
15515 Juanita Woodinville Way NE Bothell, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 999 $2,913 $2.91 0d 12 1.01mi
10826 NE 148th Ln Unit H102 Bothell, WA 3.0 2.0 1084 $2,795 $2.58 44d 1 1.04mi
12515 NE 132nd Ct Unit A302 Kirkland, WA 1.0 1.0 714 $1,895 $2.65 5d 1 1.10mi
12233 NE 131st Way Kirkland, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 875 $2,539 $2.90 2d 11 1.14mi
12429 NE 130th Ct Unit G101 Kirkland, WA 2.0 1.0 853 $2,600 $3.05 25d 1 1.18mi
12904 126th Ct NE Unit J103 Kirkland, WA 2.0 2.0 1066 $1,950 $1.83 18d 1 1.21mi
12717 NE 171st Ln Unit O Woodinville, WA 2.0 2.0 950 $2,375 $2.50 11d 1 1.23mi
12717 NE 171st Ln Unit O Woodinville, WA 2.0 2.0 950 $2,375 $2.50 2d 1 1.23mi
11400 NE 132nd St Kirkland, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 781 $2,579 $3.30 2d 26 1.23mi
12821 126th Way NE Kirkland, WA 2.0 1.0 627 $2,357 $3.76 3d 9 1.26mi
13305 NE 171st St Woodinville, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 798 $2,750 $3.44 0d 24 1.26mi
11733 NE 131st Pl Kirkland, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0 648 $2,467 $3.80 3d 14 1.27mi
17101 123rd Pl NE Bothell, WA 2.0 2.0 957 $2,500 $2.61 44d 1 1.27mi
11903 NE 128th St #758 Kirkland, WA 1.0 2.0 782 $2,710 $3.47 21d 1 1.39mi
17255 135th Ave NE Woodinville, WA 2.0 1.0–2.0 842 $3,704 $4.40 0d 28 1.40mi
12414 NE 127th Ct Kirkland, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 821 $2,749 $3.35 25d 1 1.41mi
11903 NE 128th St Kirkland, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 772 $3,400 $4.40 25d 2 1.41mi
11903 NE 128th St Kirkland, WA 1.0–2.0 2.0 919 $3,400 $3.70 44d 1 1.41mi
11811 NE 128th St Kirkland, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0 818 $3,114 $3.81 2d 13 1.42mi
12315 NE Woodinville Dr Woodinville, WA 1.0 1.0 610 $1,725 $2.83 3d 2 1.44mi
11506 NE 128th St #17 Kirkland, WA 2.0 2.0 1095 $2,800 $2.56 11d 1 1.45mi
12410 NE Totem Lake Way Kirkland, WA 4.0 1.0–2.0 745 $1,988 $2.67 44d 1 1.46mi
12670 120th Ave NE Kirkland, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 987 $3,890 $3.94 3d 12 1.46mi
17409 133rd Ave NE Woodinville, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1178 $3,199 $2.71 0d 26 1.46mi
12655 120th Ave NE Kirkland, WA 2.0 1.0–2.0 760 $3,505 $4.61 2d 9 1.47mi
12109 Woodinville Dr Bothell, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 965 $2,322 $2.41 5d 7 1.49mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$662 · $7,944/yr
Likely covers
parking
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 38 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $269,999 Active 133 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $269,999 Active 132 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $269,999 Active 131 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $269,999 Active 130 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $269,999 Active 128 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $269,999 Active 127 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $280,000 Active 124 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $280,000 Active 123 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $280,000 Active 122 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $280,000 Active 119 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $280,000 Active 118 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $280,000 Active 117 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $280,000 Active 116 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $280,000 Active 115 DOM
  15. 2026-04-27
    price $280,000
  16. 2026-03-20
    price $304,000
  17. 2026-03-16
    price $309,000
  18. 2026-03-06
    price $309,999
  19. 2026-02-05
    listed $314,999 Active
  20. 2019-10-03
    soldstatus $215,000 Sold
  21. 2019-08-31
    status Pending
  22. 2019-08-19
    price $215,000
  23. 2019-07-24
    status Active
  24. 2019-07-04
    status Pending
  25. 2019-07-04
    historical Taken Off Market
  26. 2019-06-20
    price $229,950
  27. 2019-06-05
    listed $239,950 Active
  28. 2015-09-16
    soldstatus $127,720 Sold
  29. 2015-07-27
    status Pending
  30. 2015-07-21
    price $124,000
  31. 2015-07-21
    status Active
  32. 2015-07-08
    status Pending Inspection
  33. 2015-06-29
    listed $120,000 Active
  34. 2005-02-24
    soldstatus $104,000 Closed
  35. 2005-01-26
    historical
  36. 2005-01-14
    listed $104,888
  37. 2000-12-21
    soldstatus $99,500
  38. 2000-11-20
    listed $99,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,584
− Mortgage interest
−$15,124
− Property taxes
−$4,050
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,287
− Management
−$2,287
− HOA
−$7,944
− Depreciation
−$7,855
Taxable loss
−$12,312
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,955
After-tax cash flow
$-4,798/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northshore School District
NCES district ID
5305910
Math proficiency
69% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
78% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$92,951
Composite
67.41/100
National rank
#826
State rank
#9 of 291 in WA

Livability — Kirkland

Score
84/100
State rank
#46
US rank
#792

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A Employment A+ Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kirkland, WA
County
King County · 2,251,916 people
City population
93,513
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
52,531
Household income
$135,219
Rent vs Own
40.8% rent · 59.2% own
Severe rent burden
1830.0

Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,576,485 people
By 2030
2,803,316 · +8.8%
By 2040
3,255,921 · +26.4%
By 2050
3,706,444 · +43.9%
By 2075
4,746,063 · +84.2%
By 2100
5,407,730 · +109.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Asian 17% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
26% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
70% English-only · Other Indo-European 8% Spanish 7% Chinese 5%

Political lean MEDSL · King

2024 margin
Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1281.53%
Current HPI
442.5372
Rent YoY
▲ 1.14%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+181.4% since first listed
24 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $280,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $304,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-16 Price Changed $309,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-06 Price Changed $309,999 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-05 Listed $314,999 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-10-03 Sold (MLS) $215,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-08-31 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-08-19 Price Changed $215,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-07-24 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-07-04 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-07-04 Delisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-06-20 Price Changed $229,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-06-05 Listed $239,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-09-16 Sold (MLS) $127,720 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-07-27 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-07-21 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-07-21 Price Changed $124,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-07-08 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-06-29 Listed $120,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-02-24 Sold (MLS) $104,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-01-26 Delisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-01-14 Listed $104,888 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-12-21 Sold (MLS) $99,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-11-20 Listed $99,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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