3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,120 sqft ·
Built 1978
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 86 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,234/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$141
Tax + insurance
−$45
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$259
Net cashflow
$789/mo
Annual
$9,470/yr
Cap rate
41.50%
Cash-on-cash
125.73%
DSCR
6.59
1% rule
4.59%
Cash to close
$7,532
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $27k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $789 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $27k).
It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($25k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $25k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $186 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $807 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#24 in LA, #4,535 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, employment D-.
East Baton Rouge Parish (urban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in LA (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Melrose Elementary School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #487 of 646 statewide, top 78%, 330 students, 94% FRL); Capitol Middle School (math 4% / reading 10%, grade F, #212 of 218 statewide, top 97%, 580 students, 87% FRL); Liberty High School (math 50% / reading 74%, grade B-, #15 of 265 statewide, top 6%, 1,208 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools at 80% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 202 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).
East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 41.5% vs local median 4.2% in Baton Rouge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($34k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Siding
— The siding is visibly damaged and needs to be replaced.
Major: Foundation
— The foundation appears to be in a state of disrepair and may need to be reinforced or replaced.
Major: Roof
— The roof appears to be in a state of disrepair and may need to be replaced.
Major: Windows
— The windows appear to be in a state of disrepair and may need to be replaced.
Major: HVAC
— The HVAC system appears to be in a state of disrepair and may need to be replaced or repaired.
Major: Flooring
— The flooring throughout the house is worn and uneven and needs to be replaced or repaired.
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